Friday, October 26, 2012


Yesterdays Crude Pit Session:
High: 86.60
Low: 85.23
Settlement: 85.97
Looking back at yesterday’s trading session we saw very low volume in the pit and in electronic trading.   Many locals are looking at 85.00 to be the bottom of our range.  That said, we can expect them to start doing some light buying at this level.   One of the key things we will need to watch is the hurricane currently heading towards the east coast.  This may affect some smaller refineries which in turn will impact gasoline and crude prices. 
Resistance: 86.25 , 86.75, 87.48
Support: 85.00

Yesterdays Natural Gas Session:
High: 3.815
Low:  3.712
Settlement: 3.776
We have now rolled over to the Dec contract.  Trading was also relatively light as we were sharing volume with the Nov contract.  However, we witnessed a very large trade in the NG Dec options pit today, close to a 5000 lot of a DEC 3.90 put was bought. Also option expiration is today so we will see some price action in the dealers and locals taking off expiry risk. 

Thursday, October 25, 2012



Crude Pit Session
High: 86.23
Low: 84.94
Close/settlement: 85.76
Looking back at yesterday’s trading, we had a significant build in our DOE / EIA  inventories causing price to briefly dip below 85.00.   For a bullish indication on the day we must open above yesterday’s settlement print of 85.76.  If we fail to open above this number, we can interpret this as a bearish sign and expect prices to continue to fall because we settled in the middle of our pit session range.  Look for locals to do some light buying today to cover there positions if we clear the resistance levels at 86.75 and 87.50.    Levels of support below are 84.85 and 83.30. 

 Natural Gas
This morning before the inventory we are expecting a build of 66 BCF of natural gas in storage. Also we are taking more volume in the DEC contract so we are rolling over as well. We are going to have a lot of volatility because of options expiration in the November contract, and the futures expiration is Monday. So price action is going to be active!!!